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Friday, October 21, 2016

MUSA UCAN: Operation Mosul - Twisted Purpose

Obama criminals wreak havoc in Iraq and Turkey, destabilising the region further while ceaselessly provoking Russia  

By Musa Uçan

Operation Mosul has finally begun and with it the intensive discussions about participants and  possible aftermath in the city, and apparently the result is not satisfying for the major players in the region - the U.S. and Barzani factions.

The main purpose of the operation has been declared as the neutralization and cleaning ISIS elements, and liberation of the city however most observers are sure that the operation is going to be a milestone for Barzani Kurdistan, with tribe lord Barzani gaining a substantial victory and addition of Mosul to the so-called autonomous Kurdistan. 

Statements from the Pentagon and their allies regarding recognition and the territorial integrity of Iraq are not at all convincing for Russia, Iran and Turkey.

It is widely acknowledged that Iraqi oil is shared between the major oil companies and the most profitable contracts for these companies are signed with Barzani's Kurdistan. 

Barzani is not only an obedient partner but is also acting like a U.S. governor when it comes to the benefits the major oil companies have received since the end of Saddam's Ba'ath regime so we can consider and assume that Mosul falling under the hegemony of Barzani would mean:

More and much more better quality oil;

One more step closer to a Kurdish state which shall trigger social differentiation and tension in Turkey, Iran and Syria. A Kurdistan with greatly enhanced strategic position, unlimited oil reserves and probably a new favorite ally of the U.S., perhaps even becoming a "satellite state" in Middle East. 

It would appear that the U.S. and it's allies are securing and solidifying their position in the region and wish to have the "best seat in the house" before Armageddon begins. 

The "Molehill" Between Aleppo And Mosul

The operation in Mosul has been negotiated and planned for more than one year and is not something new. The negotiations and discussions about participants, demographic configuration after operations and reconstruction were the main reasons for delay. It would seem as if there was finally an agreement reached between between sides as the belated operation has begun, but is it really only about Mosul?

Reference a quote from former Turkish general Ismail Hakki Pekin's article published in yesterday's Aydinlik (Former The Head of the Intelligence Unit of the General Staff):

"We know that the Syrian army is about to overtake the control of Aleppo with the support of Russian army in Syria. It's also obvious that the FSA elements are advancing to Al Bab with Turkish support. To reduce the chance of Syrian and Russian armies' to go towards Raqqa after securing Aleppo, the IS elements will probably be allowed to flee from Mosul and reinforce their most important stronghold Raqqa. Meanwhile, US aims to block Russia, Syria and Turkey to act under their initiative."

Meanwhile, the U.S. is playing smart on the chessboard using the "common enemy" ISIS as a stooge and we can clearly see that the agreement with the belated Mosul operation is not only about neutralizing IS elements but securing Mosul, changing the demographic configuration and expanding so called autonomous Kurdistan lands.

The most dangerous potential disastrous consequence of such a move is the possible reaction of ISIS being snared in Raqqa. 

It is common knowledge how wild and uncivilized they are and civilians have no value for ISIS. And moreover, what if they decide to deploy chemical weapons? 

To be able to understand the real purpose, we should look into the details of the operation from a military perspective. Coalition forces are leaving an escape line to ISIS elements. The possible escape route of IS elements won't be bombarded. This detail supports above the possibility. 

Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) Mosul spokesman Saed Mamouzini's interview with Sputnik is yet another strong attestation regarding the twisted purpose of operation Mosul: 

"An escape line for ISIS militants to retreat to Talafar and Syria will be allowed. There won't be an interference to those runaways. ISIS terrorists are currently ditching and placing booby-trapped mines all around town. There are approximately seven thousand ISIS militants in Mosul. Mosul will be secured quickly because ISIS isn't as strong as they used to be here."

It's illogical and nonsense to let terrorists to escape while you can easily wipe them out while they're heavily outnumbered. Let's say coalition land forces want to secure the town with minimum casualties but it's still nonsensical to let them flee while you have NATO air forces behind you. 

Warning of a new migration wave, Mamouzini continues:

"There are one million, three hundred thousand people in Mosul. One million people may migrate from Mosul. Kurdistan and Iraqi governments are preparing for such a migration wave. Kurdistan government is building a camp for five thousand people."

Irrationality continues as he talks. If an escape line is allowed for ISIS militants to retreat and flee from Mosul to minimize military and civilian casualties then how and why could such a huge migration wave be predicted? In "securing" the town and neutralising ISIS elements, why indeed would people migrate from a liberated town? How could this  number be calculated and predicted? 

These questions do not seem to have proper and satisfying answers. All we know now is that the situation is just getting more blurry and the Armageddon clock is counting down at full tilt.

Musa Uçan
Musa Uçan is a freelance journalist reporting on international affairs and global politics and has traveled widely throughout the Middle East, Russia, Northern Africa and Asia. He has witnessed first-hand the before and after Arab Spring and Orange Revolutions. 

He resides in Turkey.



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